Statistics 2nd ed

Factorial ANOVA

factorial layout
factorial means interaction
factorial interaction

Goal. Test the effects of Method (Lecture vs. Online) and Time (Early vs. Late) on exam scores, and whether there is an interaction between Method and Time.

Design & Experiment

  • Factor A (Method): Lecture vs. Online
  • Factor B (Time): Early vs. Late
  • Balanced design: \(n=5\) per cell β‡’ total \(N=20\).

Students are randomly assigned to one of four cells (Method Γ— Time). After a short module, all students take the same 100-point exam.

Figure 1: 2 Γ— 2 layout (Method Γ— Time).


Data

Scores by cell (five students per cell):

MethodTimeScoresCell Mean
LectureEarly686870727270.0
LectureLate767678808078.0
OnlineEarly707072747472.0
OnlineLate717173757573.0

Within each cell the sample variance is 4 (SD = 2), so the within-cell sum of squares is \((n-1)s^2 = 4\times4 = 16\) per cell.

Figure 2: Means with SEM by Time, separate lines for Method.

Figure 3: Interaction plot (Lecture rises sharply; Online nearly flat).


Step 1 β€” Marginal Means and Grand Mean

Cell means: \[ \bar X_{\text{Lecture,Early}}=70,\; \bar X_{\text{Lecture,Late}}=78,\; \bar X_{\text{Online,Early}}=72,\; \bar X_{\text{Online,Late}}=73. \] Marginal means: \[ \bar X_{\text{Lecture}}=\frac{70+78}{2}=74,\quad \bar X_{\text{Online}}=\frac{72+73}{2}=72.5; \qquad \bar X_{\text{Early}}=\frac{70+72}{2}=71,\quad \bar X_{\text{Late}}=\frac{78+73}{2}=75.5. \] Grand mean: \[ \bar X=\frac{70+78+72+73}{4}=73.25. \]


Step 2 β€” Sums of Squares (Between)

Balanced design formulas (with \(n\) per cell, \(a=b=2\)):

  • \(SS_A = nb \sum_a(\bar X_{a\cdot}-\bar X)^2\), here \(nb=10\).
  • \(SS_B = na \sum_b(\bar X_{\cdot b}-\bar X)^2\), here \(na=10\).
  • \(SS_{AB} = n \sum_{a,b}\big(\bar X_{ab}-\bar X_{a\cdot}-\bar X_{\cdot b}+\bar X\big)^2\), here \(n=5\).

Compute each term:

Factor A (Method): \[ \begin{aligned} SS_A &= 10\Big[(74-73.25)^2 + (72.5-73.25)^2\Big]\\ &= 10\big[0.75^2 + (-0.75)^2\big] = 10(0.5625+0.5625)=\mathbf{11.25}. \end{aligned} \]

Factor B (Time): \[ \begin{aligned} SS_B &= 10\Big[(71-73.25)^2 + (75.5-73.25)^2\Big]\\ &= 10\big[(-2.25)^2 + (2.25)^2\big] = 10(5.0625+5.0625)=\mathbf{101.25}. \end{aligned} \]

Interaction \(A\times B\): For each cell compute \(d_{ab}=\bar X_{ab}-\bar X_{a\cdot}-\bar X_{\cdot b}+\bar X\). Here each \(d_{ab}=\pm1.75\) so \(d_{ab}^2=3.0625\) and there are four cells: \[ SS_{AB}=5\times(4\times3.0625)=\mathbf{61.25}. \]


Step 3 β€” Within-Group (Error) and Total SS

Within each cell, \((n-1)s^2=16\). With 4 cells: \[ SS_{\text{within}}=\mathbf{64.00}. \]

Total: \[ SS_{\text{total}}=SS_A+SS_B+SS_{AB}+SS_{\text{within}} =11.25+101.25+61.25+64.00=\mathbf{238.75}. \]


Step 4 β€” Degrees of Freedom & Mean Squares

\[ \begin{aligned} &df_A=a-1=1,\quad df_B=b-1=1,\quad df_{AB}=(a-1)(b-1)=1,\\ &df_{\text{within}}=N-ab=20-4=\mathbf{16},\quad df_{\text{total}}=N-1=19. \end{aligned} \] \[ MS_A=\frac{11.25}{1}=11.25,\quad MS_B=\frac{101.25}{1}=101.25,\quad MS_{AB}=\frac{61.25}{1}=61.25,\quad MS_{\text{within}}=\frac{64.00}{16}=\mathbf{4.00}. \]


Step 5 β€” F Tests & p-values

\[ F_A=\frac{MS_A}{MS_{\text{within}}}=\frac{11.25}{4}= \mathbf{2.8125},\qquad F_B=\frac{MS_B}{MS_{\text{within}}}=\frac{101.25}{4}= \mathbf{25.3125},\qquad F_{AB}=\frac{MS_{AB}}{MS_{\text{within}}}=\frac{61.25}{4}= \mathbf{15.3125}. \] With \(df_1=1\), \(df_2=16\): \[ p_A \approx 0.11\;(\text{n.s.}),\quad p_B < 0.001,\quad p_{AB} \approx 0.001. \]


ANOVA Summary Table

SourceSSdfMSFp
Method (A)11.25111.252.8125β‰ˆ 0.11
Time (B)101.251101.2525.3125< 0.001
A Γ— B61.25161.2515.3125β‰ˆ 0.001
Within (Error)64.00164.00β€”β€”
Total238.7519β€”β€”β€”

Interpretation

Main effect of Time (B) is significant: Late > Early on average. Main effect of Method (A) is not significant at conventional levels. The interaction (A × B) is significant: Lecture improves markedly from Early→Late, while Online changes little—non-parallel lines in the interaction plot.

Figure 4: Interaction plot highlighting non-parallel lines.

Assumptions (checklist)

  • Independence of observations within and across cells.
  • Approximately normal scores within each cell.
  • Homogeneity of variances across cells (here, each cell variance β‰ˆ 4).

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